Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.003499 0.003673 0.003850 0.004046 0.004255 0.004472 0.004716
2025-06-22 0.003155 0.003409 0.003678 0.003987 0.004333 0.004709 0.005150
2025-06-29 0.002970 0.003272 0.003601 0.003990 0.004438 0.004941 0.005554
2025-07-06 0.002753 0.003076 0.003436 0.003869 0.004381 0.004971 0.005709
2025-07-13 0.002643 0.002991 0.003387 0.003872 0.004459 0.005150 0.006038
2025-07-20 0.002580 0.002954 0.003387 0.003928 0.004595 0.005400 0.006460
2025-07-27 0.002476 0.002864 0.003317 0.003892 0.004614 0.005501 0.006696
2025-08-03 0.002389 0.002787 0.003259 0.003867 0.004641 0.005610 0.006942
2025-08-10 0.002309 0.002715 0.003202 0.003838 0.004659 0.005705 0.007171
2025-08-17 0.002278 0.002702 0.003217 0.003898 0.004793 0.005952 0.007614
2025-08-24 0.002216 0.002648 0.003177 0.003885 0.004827 0.006068 0.007880
2025-08-31 0.002154 0.002591 0.003130 0.003860 0.004845 0.006160 0.008114
2025-09-07 0.002079 0.002515 0.003058 0.003800 0.004812 0.006183 0.008253
2025-09-14 0.002011 0.002447 0.002994 0.003748 0.004789 0.006216 0.008407
2025-09-21 0.001970 0.002412 0.002971 0.003750 0.004839 0.006354 0.008721
2025-09-28 0.001886 0.002318 0.002868 0.003640 0.004726 0.006253 0.008668
2025-10-05 0.001852 0.002288 0.002849 0.003643 0.004773 0.006384 0.008976
2025-10-12 0.001838 0.002284 0.002864 0.003694 0.004891 0.006622 0.009464
2025-10-19 0.001793 0.002239 0.002821 0.003661 0.004884 0.006675 0.009656
2025-10-26 0.001753 0.002199 0.002786 0.003638 0.004890 0.006745 0.009880
2025-11-02 0.001715 0.002160 0.002749 0.003611 0.004889 0.006804 0.010088
2025-11-09 0.001707 0.002162 0.002769 0.003666 0.005013 0.007062 0.010644
2025-11-16 0.001676 0.002132 0.002743 0.003654 0.005034 0.007156 0.010923